Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.239691 0.271480 0.305369 0.344126 0.387163 0.433424 0.486850
2025-09-14 0.195125 0.237445 0.285390 0.343517 0.411855 0.489414 0.583854
2025-09-21 0.163718 0.212100 0.269872 0.343488 0.434295 0.542103 0.679195
2025-09-28 0.140144 0.192114 0.257164 0.343783 0.455209 0.592744 0.774238
2025-10-05 0.123743 0.178532 0.250076 0.349145 0.481375 0.650211 0.880247
2025-10-12 0.111979 0.169272 0.247013 0.358511 0.512289 0.714584 0.998011
2025-10-19 0.100297 0.158495 0.240383 0.361758 0.534336 0.767691 1.103100
2025-10-26 0.091784 0.151125 0.237456 0.369320 0.562053 0.829178 1.221989
2025-11-02 0.085319 0.145966 0.236973 0.379875 0.594069 0.897667 1.353398
2025-11-09 0.076694 0.136415 0.228879 0.378150 0.607572 0.940044 1.449333
2025-11-16 0.069367 0.128089 0.221770 0.377041 0.621400 0.982962 1.547379
2025-11-23 0.062909 0.120464 0.214979 0.375643 0.634258 1.024531 1.644730
2025-11-30 0.058586 0.116238 0.213610 0.383214 0.662188 1.091171 1.784516
2025-12-07 0.053359 0.109825 0.207989 0.383287 0.678030 1.139948 1.899335
2025-12-14 0.048759 0.104029 0.202863 0.383666 0.694160 1.189687 2.017647
2025-12-21 0.044681 0.098748 0.198124 0.384218 0.710373 1.240039 2.138843
2025-12-28 0.041793 0.095457 0.196642 0.390259 0.736005 1.306496 2.288314
2026-01-04 0.039738 0.093603 0.197614 0.400662 0.769556 1.387205 2.463969
2026-01-11 0.037017 0.090055 0.195039 0.404283 0.791257 1.448975 2.610818
2026-01-18 0.035080 0.087953 0.195052 0.412645 0.821698 1.526571 2.786795
2026-01-25 0.033642 0.086781 0.196776 0.424297 0.858576 1.616520 2.986797
2026-02-01 0.030940 0.082447 0.191727 0.422402 0.870320 1.663335 3.114981
2026-02-08 0.028549 0.078548 0.187218 0.421183 0.883104 1.712278 3.248398